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MLB · 2026 · Fri, Apr 17, 2026 · Fenway Park

DET @ BOS
Game Center

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox · 7:15 PM ET · Final 0–1 (1 runs)

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Final
Status
0.0
FQ Score
NRFI
Signal
8.0
O/U line
12.0
NRFI comb.
Detroit Tigers
22-35 · Away 11-24
0.0 R/G (L5)
Fri, Apr 17, 2026
0 1
Final · 1 runs
O/U 8.0 O -101 · U -111
Fenway Park
Boston Red Sox
25-33 · Home 9-20
0.0 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
12
NRFI Score
8.0
O/U Line
DET Season Stats BOS
3.9 Runs/Game 4.0
0% Over Rate 0%
3.9 Runs Away / Home 3.2
O/U Streak U1
W3 Win Streak L1
Park avg: 7.24 R/G (29 games) ↓ Line above park avg
Detroit Tigers runs per game (last 5)
1
May 30
1
May 31
10
Jun 01
8
Jun 02
7
Jun 03
Boston Red Sox runs per game (last 5)
2
May 28
3
May 29
9
May 30
9
May 31
2
Jun 02
Starting Pitchers
DET
Casey Mize
Detroit Tigers · RHP
Elite
2.47
ERA
0.98
WHIP
8.9
K/9
BB/9
8
GS
43.7
IP
2.40
L3 ERA
1.63
L5 ERA
vs
BOS
Ranger Suarez
Boston Red Sox · RHP
Good
3.02
ERA
1.08
WHIP
7.9
K/9
BB/9
10
GS
53.7
IP
3.68
L3 ERA
2.03
L5 ERA
NRFI Score Breakdown
12
Combined NRFI Score
BOS starter: Good tier
DET starter: Elite tier
Detroit Tigers · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 3 7-2 9 NONE
Jun 2 8-0 8 PUSH W
Jun 1 10-9 19 OVER W
May 31 1-2 3 UNDER L
May 30 1-7 8 OVER L
Boston Red Sox · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 2-4 6 UNDER L
May 31 9-4 13 OVER W
May 30 9-1 10 OVER W
May 29 3-4 7 UNDER L
May 28 2-10 12 OVER L
Analysis · updated 9:38 AM ET

Both offenses have been completely shut down early, combining for zero first-inning runs across their last five games each. Casey Mize's 3.94 ERA keeps Detroit disciplined through the opening frame, while Ranger Suarez—despite a shakier 5.02 ERA—has benefited from Boston's anemic early-inning production. The scoring drought on both sides makes NRFI the sharp play here.


NRFI Angle: Tigers @ Red Sox (April 17, 2026)

The NRFI case here carries real momentum heading into this Friday matchup at Fenway. Detroit's Casey Mize has been the anchor of this angle, riding a nine-game scoreless first-inning streak that speaks to his ability to work cleanly through opposing lineups early. On the Boston side, Ranger Suarez enters with a 5.02 ERA, but the Red Sox have also logged two consecutive scoreless first innings at home. Combined, both clubs share a 12-game first-inning scoreless streak between them. With Mize's 3.94 ERA suggesting solid overall command and both offenses recently quiet in the opening frame, the early scoring trends firmly support backing the NRFI in this one.

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