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MLB · 2026 · Wed, Apr 29, 2026 · Sutter Health Park

KC @ ATH
Game Center

Kansas City Royals at Athletics · 9:40 PM ET · Final 2–5 (7 runs)

All tips verified
Final
Status
0.0
FQ Score
NRFI
Signal
9.5
O/U line
18.0
NRFI comb.
Kansas City Royals
22-33 · Away 8-21
0.0 R/G (L5)
Wed, Apr 29, 2026
2 5
Final · 7 runs
O/U 9.5 O -107 · U -105
Sutter Health Park
Athletics
26-31 · Home 11-17
0.0 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
18
NRFI Score
9.5
O/U Line
KC Season Stats ATH
3.8 Runs/Game 4.1
0% Over Rate 1%
3.2 Runs Away / Home 4.5
U1 O/U Streak U1
L1 Win Streak W1
Park avg: 10.89 R/G (28 games) ↑ Line below park avg
Kansas City Royals runs per game (last 5)
1
May 26
0
May 27
1
May 29
9
Jun 01
3
Jun 02
Athletics runs per game (last 5)
1
May 27
2
May 29
6
May 30
8
May 31
2
Jun 02
Starting Pitchers
KC
Michael Wacha
Kansas City Royals · RHP
Good
2.69
ERA
1.02
WHIP
7.7
K/9
BB/9
11
GS
70.3
IP
2.84
L3 ERA
2.18
L5 ERA
vs
ATH
Luis Severino
Athletics · RHP
Avg
4.23
ERA
1.44
WHIP
9.3
K/9
2.8
BB/9
11
GS
61.7
IP
4.42
L3 ERA
3.26
L5 ERA
NRFI Score Breakdown
18
Combined NRFI Score
KC starter: Good tier
Kansas City Royals · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 3-4 7 UNDER L
Jun 1 9-2 11 OVER W
May 29 1-9 10 OVER L
May 27 0-7 7 UNDER L
May 26 1-15 16 OVER L
Athletics · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 2-1 3 UNDER W
May 31 8-13 21 OVER L
May 30 6-4 10 OVER W
May 29 2-8 10 OVER L
May 27 1-9 10 OVER L
Analysis · updated 11:22 AM ET

Both starters are dealing early — Wacha's 2.51 ERA keeps Kansas City's lineup quiet, while Severino has been sharper through the first frame despite his season numbers. The clincher: both offenses have been completely blanked in the first inning across their last five games combined, averaging a combined 0.0 runs. Fade the first-inning scoring entirely with confidence.


NRFI Angle: Athletics vs. Royals (April 29, 2026)

The NRFI angle carries real merit in this matchup. Kansas City's Michael Wacha has been sharp this season, posting a 2.51 ERA, suggesting he's capable of navigating a clean first inning on the road. The Royals also carry a 12-game scoreless first-inning streak, demonstrating consistent early-inning discipline from their pitching staff. Oakland's Luis Severino holds a 5.17 ERA, but the Athletics have their own 5-game scoreless first-inning streak working in their favor. Most compelling is the combined 18-game first-inning scoreless streak between these two clubs. Both teams have shown a strong recent pattern of keeping the first frame clean, making NRFI a worthwhile lean here.

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