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MLB · 2026 · Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Citi Field

ATH @ NYM
Game Center

Athletics at New York Mets · 4:10 PM ET · Final 11–6 (17 runs)

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Final
Status
FQ Score
NRFI
Signal
8.0
O/U line
NRFI comb.
Athletics
26-31 · Away 18-14
Sat, Apr 11, 2026
11 6
Final · 17 runs
O/U 8.0 O 103 · U -116
Citi Field
New York Mets
24-30 · Home 15-15
FastballHQ Signal
Not featured
Not published as a FastballHQ NRFI pick.
FQ Score
8.0
O/U Line
ATH Season Stats NYM
4.1 Runs/Game 3.9
1% Over Rate 0%
3.7 Runs Away / Home 4.7
U1 O/U Streak O1
W1 Win Streak W1
Park avg: 9.07 R/G (30 games) ↑ Line below park avg
Athletics runs per game (last 5)
1
May 27
2
May 29
6
May 30
8
May 31
2
Jun 02
New York Mets runs per game (last 5)
6
May 30
10
May 31
2
Jun 01
3
Jun 02
7
Jun 03
Starting Pitchers
ATH
Jacob Lopez
Athletics · RHP
Weak
5.73
ERA
1.77
WHIP
6.5
K/9
BB/9
9
GS
48.7
IP
4.73
L3 ERA
5.62
L5 ERA
vs
NYM
Kodai Senga
New York Mets · RHP
Weak
8.83
ERA
1.90
WHIP
11.4
K/9
BB/9
4
GS
17.3
IP
11.91
L3 ERA
8.83
L5 ERA
Athletics · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 2-1 3 UNDER W
May 31 8-13 21 OVER L
May 30 6-4 10 OVER W
May 29 2-8 10 OVER L
May 27 1-9 10 OVER L
New York Mets · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 3 7-1 8 NONE
Jun 2 3-8 11 OVER L
Jun 1 2-3 5 UNDER L
May 31 10-1 11 OVER W
May 30 6-1 7 UNDER W
Analysis · updated 6:41 AM ET

Kodai Senga's 3.02 ERA anchors a strong NRFI case here, and the first-inning run data backs it up hard — both the Mets and Athletics have combined for zero first-inning runs across their last five games each. With Jacob Lopez's track record largely untested at this level, the pressure falls on bats that have been ice-cold to start games. Lean NRFI with confidence.


NRFI Watch: Athletics @ Mets — April 11, 2026

The first inning looks quiet in this Citi Field matchup. Kodai Senga takes the mound for New York carrying a solid 3.02 ERA, giving the Mets a reliable arm to keep the Athletics off the board early. On the other side, the Athletics have been remarkably stingy in the opening frame themselves, posting an impressive nine-game scoreless first-inning streak heading into this contest. Combined, both clubs have strung together 12 first-inning scoreless efforts together, building a strong case for a clean opening frame. With Senga's proven track record and Oakland's recent first-inning discipline, fading runs early in this one appears to be a compelling lean.

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