The site is in test mode — full access to all features is free.

Published picks are independently verified on Tipstrr. Tipstrr profile →

MLB · 2026 · Fri, Apr 3, 2026 · Fenway Park

SD @ BOS
Game Center

San Diego Padres at Boston Red Sox · 2:10 PM ET · Final 2–5 (7 runs)

All tips verified
Final
Status
5.2
FQ Score
NONE
Signal
8.0
O/U line
0.0
NRFI comb.
San Diego Padres
32-25 · Away 16-11
3.4 R/G (L5)
Fri, Apr 3, 2026
2 5
Final · 7 runs
O/U 8.0 O -108 · U -104
Fenway Park
Boston Red Sox
25-33 · Home 9-20
2.8 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
NONE
Momentum-based read for this matchup.
8.0
O/U Line
#3
Pick of Day
SD Season Stats BOS
4.0 Runs/Game 4.0
0% Over Rate 0%
4.4 Runs Away / Home 3.2
U2 O/U Streak U1
L3 Win Streak L1
Park avg: 7.24 R/G (29 games) ↓ Line above park avg
San Diego Padres runs per game (last 5)
0
May 25
3
May 26
7
May 29
2
May 31
2
Jun 02
Boston Red Sox runs per game (last 5)
2
May 28
3
May 29
9
May 30
9
May 31
2
Jun 02
Starting Pitchers
SD
Michael King
San Diego Padres · RHP
Good
2.76
ERA
1.15
WHIP
9.2
K/9
3.2
BB/9
11
GS
62.0
IP
2.76
L3 ERA
3.18
L5 ERA
vs
BOS
Sonny Gray
Boston Red Sox · RHP
Good
3.27
ERA
1.20
WHIP
7.0
K/9
1.9
BB/9
9
GS
44.0
IP
2.81
L3 ERA
2.28
L5 ERA
FQ Score Breakdown Watch
Boston Red Sox trend
2.6
San Diego Padres trend
1.0
Pitching factor
+2.2
F5 pattern
+2.0
Market context
0.0
Total 5.2
San Diego Padres · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 2-3 5 UNDER L
May 31 2-4 6 UNDER L
May 29 7-5 12 OVER W
May 26 3-4 7 UNDER L
May 25 0-3 3 UNDER L
Boston Red Sox · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 2-4 6 UNDER L
May 31 9-4 13 OVER W
May 30 9-1 10 OVER W
May 29 3-4 7 UNDER L
May 28 2-10 12 OVER L
Analysis · updated 5:44 PM ET

Under Analysis

Both offenses have been subdued recently, with Boston averaging just 2.8 runs over their last five games and San Diego posting 3.4 — combining for a modest 6.2 runs per game across that stretch. Sonny Gray's 4.28 ERA is the softer arm in this matchup, but Michael King counters with a sharp 3.44 ERA, keeping run suppression on both sides. The data supports an under environment.

FastballHQ provides data-driven analysis for informational purposes only. This is not a betting recommendation. Please gamble responsibly — if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available at ncpgambling.org or call 1-800-522-4700.

Game Result & Analysis · Apr 3

San Diego Padres 2, Boston Red Sox 5 — Final

The Boston Red Sox took care of business at home on Friday night, defeating the San Diego Padres by a final score of 5-2. Boston's offense generated enough run support to pull away comfortably, while San Diego's bats never truly found a rhythm against Red Sox pitching. It was a straightforward victory for the home side.

From a run-scoring standpoint, the game played out as a low-scoring affair, with the combined total of seven runs falling short of the posted line of 8.0, making the under the correct call heading into the night. The first inning was equally quiet, with neither team scratching across a run to open the ballgame.

The Red Sox will look to carry this momentum forward as a strong home performance, while the Padres will need to regroup and find more offensive consistency as the early portion of the 2026 season continues to unfold.

FastballHQ provides data-driven analysis for informational purposes only. This is not a betting recommendation. Please gamble responsibly — if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available at ncpgambling.org or call 1-800-522-4700.

More on this slate