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MLB · 2026 · Wed, Apr 22, 2026 · Coors Field

SD @ COL
Game Center

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies · 8:40 PM ET · Final 3–8 (11 runs)

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Final
Status
0.0
FQ Score
NRFI
Signal
12.0
O/U line
12.0
NRFI comb.
San Diego Padres
32-25 · Away 16-11
0.0 R/G (L5)
Wed, Apr 22, 2026
3 8
Final · 11 runs
O/U 12.0 O -112 · U -100
Coors Field
Colorado Rockies
19-36 · Home 12-16
0.0 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
12
NRFI Score
12.0
O/U Line
SD Season Stats COL
4.0 Runs/Game 4.4
0% Over Rate 1%
4.4 Runs Away / Home 4.8
U2 O/U Streak O4
L3 Win Streak W2
Park avg: 11.0 R/G (28 games) ↓ Line above park avg
San Diego Padres runs per game (last 5)
0
May 25
3
May 26
7
May 29
2
May 31
2
Jun 02
Colorado Rockies runs per game (last 5)
1
May 27
8
May 29
6
May 31
9
Jun 01
8
Jun 02
Starting Pitchers
SD
Walker Buehler
San Diego Padres · RHP
Weak
4.88
ERA
1.32
WHIP
7.5
K/9
BB/9
11
GS
51.7
IP
4.11
L3 ERA
4.39
L5 ERA
vs
COL
Tomoyuki Sugano
Colorado Rockies · RHP
Avg
4.01
ERA
1.25
WHIP
4.8
K/9
BB/9
11
GS
58.3
IP
3.86
L3 ERA
5.40
L5 ERA
NRFI Score Breakdown
12
Combined NRFI Score
San Diego Padres · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 2-3 5 UNDER L
May 31 2-4 6 UNDER L
May 29 7-5 12 OVER W
May 26 3-4 7 UNDER L
May 25 0-3 3 UNDER L
Colorado Rockies · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 8-2 10 OVER W
Jun 1 9-8 17 OVER W
May 31 6-19 25 OVER L
May 29 8-6 14 OVER W
May 27 1-4 5 UNDER L
Analysis · updated 6:28 AM ET

Tomoyuki Sugano has been virtually untouchable with a 2.16 ERA, and Walker Buehler brings enough early-inning discipline to keep hitters off the board. Both offenses have averaged zero first-inning runs over their last five games, making the scoring data as clean as it gets. The pitching and the trend point the same direction — take the No Run First Inning.


NRFI Angle: Padres @ Rockies (April 22, 2026)

The NRFI has solid backing heading into Wednesday's matchup at Coors Field. The combined first-inning scoreless streak between these two clubs sits at 12, reflecting a strong recent trend of quiet openings. The Padres bring particularly impressive momentum on the road, carrying a 10-game scoreless first-inning streak into this contest. On the mound, Colorado's Tomoyuki Sugano has been sharp all season, posting a 2.16 ERA and giving the Rockies a reliable arm to navigate the early frame. While Walker Buehler's 4.97 ERA raises some questions, the overall data still leans quiet in the first. The NRFI deserves strong consideration here.

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