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MLB · 2026 · Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Progressive Field

BAL @ CLE
Game Center

Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Guardians · 1:40 PM ET · Final 4–8 (12 runs)

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Final
Status
0.0
FQ Score
NRFI
Signal
6.5
O/U line
16.0
NRFI comb.
Baltimore Orioles
28-29 · Away 10-17
0.0 R/G (L5)
Sun, Apr 19, 2026
4 8
Final · 12 runs
O/U 6.5 O -119 · U 106
Progressive Field
Cleveland Guardians
32-23 · Home 17-14
0.0 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
16
NRFI Score
6.5
O/U Line
BAL Season Stats CLE
4.6 Runs/Game 4.1
1% Over Rate 0%
4.0 Runs Away / Home 3.7
U1 O/U Streak O3
W3 Win Streak W1
Park avg: 7.84 R/G (31 games) ↑ Line below park avg
Baltimore Orioles runs per game (last 5)
1
May 28
5
May 29
6
May 30
9
May 31
4
Jun 02
Cleveland Guardians runs per game (last 5)
3
May 27
4
May 29
1
May 30
4
May 31
9
Jun 02
Starting Pitchers
BAL
Trevor Rogers
Baltimore Orioles · RHP
Weak
6.96
ERA
1.62
WHIP
7.4
K/9
2.4
BB/9
9
GS
42.7
IP
12.41
L3 ERA
11.84
L5 ERA
vs
CLE
Joey Cantillo
Cleveland Guardians · RHP
Avg
3.57
ERA
1.40
WHIP
8.1
K/9
4.0
BB/9
12
GS
58.0
IP
5.68
L3 ERA
3.42
L5 ERA
NRFI Score Breakdown
16
Combined NRFI Score
Baltimore Orioles · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 4-2 6 UNDER W
May 31 9-5 14 OVER W
May 30 6-5 11 OVER W
May 29 5-6 11 OVER L
May 28 1-2 3 UNDER L
Cleveland Guardians · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 9-4 13 OVER W
May 31 4-9 13 OVER L
May 30 1-9 10 OVER L
May 29 4-3 7 UNDER W
May 27 3-2 5 UNDER W
Analysis · updated 7:03 AM ET

Both starters are dealing right now — Trevor Rogers sports a sparkling 1.89 ERA while Joey Cantillo isn't far behind at 2.45. Add in the fact that both offenses have been completely frozen, combining for zero runs across their last five games each, and the case for a scoreless first inning writes itself. Trust the arms here.


NRFI Angle: Orioles @ Guardians (April 19, 2026)

Everything points toward a quiet first inning in Cleveland on Sunday. The combined first-inning scoreless streak for both clubs sits at an impressive 16 games, reflecting how well these offenses have been neutralized early. Baltimore's Trevor Rogers has been virtually untouchable, carrying a sparkling 1.89 ERA, while Cleveland's Joey Cantillo isn't far behind at 2.45. Both starters are clearly in strong form and capable of setting down hitters efficiently from pitch one. The Guardians have kept first-inning opponents scoreless in their last two, while the Orioles carry a nine-game scoreless-side streak of their own. With elite pitching and strong recent trends aligned, the NRFI has genuine value here.

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