Sun, Apr 5, 2026
5
–
6
Final · 11 runs
O/U 8.0
O -118 · U 105
Progressive Field
FastballHQ Signal
Over 8
Strong signal across match total and F5 markets.
6.1
FQ Score
8.0
O/U Line
G2 CHC
Season Stats
G2 CLE
4.7
Runs/Game
4.1
1%
Over Rate
0%
4.9
Runs Away / Home
3.7
U3
O/U Streak
O3
L2
Win Streak
W1
Park avg: 7.84 R/G (31 games)
↓ Line above park avg
G2 Chicago Cubs
runs per game (last 5)
G2 Cleveland Guardians
runs per game (last 5)
Starting Pitchers
G2 CHC
Shota Imanaga
Chicago Cubs · RHP
Avg
4.04
ERA
1.07
WHIP
9.3
K/9
1.6
BB/9
vs
G2 CLE
Parker Messick
Cleveland Guardians · RHP
Elite
2.24
ERA
1.04
WHIP
9.8
K/9
—
BB/9
FQ Score Breakdown
Strong Over Signal
Cleveland Guardians trend
1.6
Chicago Cubs trend
0.0
Pitching factor
+1.5
F5 pattern
+0.0
Market context
0.0
Total
6.1
G2 Chicago Cubs · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2 | 1-2 | 3 | UNDER | L |
| May 31 | 1-5 | 6 | UNDER | L |
| May 30 | 6-1 | 7 | UNDER | W |
| May 29 | 5-6 | 11 | OVER | L |
| May 28 | 7-2 | 9 | OVER | W |
G2 Cleveland Guardians · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2 | 9-4 | 13 | OVER | W |
| May 31 | 4-9 | 13 | OVER | L |
| May 30 | 1-9 | 10 | OVER | L |
| May 29 | 4-3 | 7 | UNDER | W |
| May 27 | 3-2 | 5 | UNDER | W |
Analysis · updated 10:12 AM ET
Cleveland's offense has sputtered recently, averaging just 2.6 runs over their last five games, while Chicago's pitching has been vulnerable with Imanaga sporting a 7.20 ERA. The Cubs' 3.4 runs per game over the same stretch suggests they'll find enough offense to push this total over, especially facing an unproven Cleveland starter in Parker Messick.
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