Sat, Apr 4, 2026
11
–
0
Final · 11 runs
O/U 9.5
O -108 · U -104
Sutter Health Park
FastballHQ Signal
Under 9.5
Strong signal across match total and F5 markets.
-4.1
FQ Score
9.5
O/U Line
HOU
Season Stats
ATH
4.4
Runs/Game
4.1
1%
Over Rate
1%
4.6
Runs Away / Home
4.5
O1
O/U Streak
U1
L2
Win Streak
W1
Park avg: 10.89 R/G (28 games)
↑ Line below park avg
Houston Astros
runs per game (last 5)
Athletics
runs per game (last 5)
Starting Pitchers
HOU
Tatsuya Imai
Houston Astros · RHP
Weak
6.17
ERA
1.50
WHIP
8.9
K/9
13.5
BB/9
vs
ATH
Luis Morales
Athletics · RHP
Avg
10.38
ERA
1.62
WHIP
10.4
K/9
3.3
BB/9
FQ Score Breakdown
Strong Under Signal
Athletics trend
0.0
Houston Astros trend
0.5
Pitching factor
+0.0
F5 pattern
+0.0
Market context
-0.3
Total
-4.1
Houston Astros · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2 | 6-10 | 16 | OVER | L |
| May 31 | 0-2 | 2 | UNDER | L |
| May 30 | 9-2 | 11 | OVER | W |
| May 29 | 4-5 | 9 | OVER | L |
| May 28 | 5-1 | 6 | UNDER | W |
Athletics · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2 | 2-1 | 3 | UNDER | W |
| May 31 | 8-13 | 21 | OVER | L |
| May 30 | 6-4 | 10 | OVER | W |
| May 29 | 2-8 | 10 | OVER | L |
| May 27 | 1-9 | 10 | OVER | L |
Analysis · updated 11:28 AM ET
Both offenses are struggling badly. Oakland's averaging just 3.8 runs over their last five games, while Houston sits at 7.2—well below season norms for a competitive matchup. The pitching situation amplifies the under signal: Luis Morales carries a bloated 10.38 ERA at home, and Tatsuya Imai's 13.50 ERA suggests runs should flow. Instead, offensive inconsistency points toward a low-scoring affair.
FastballHQ provides data-driven analysis for informational purposes only. This is not a betting recommendation. Please gamble responsibly — if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available at ncpgambling.org or call 1-800-522-4700.
