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MLB · 2026 · Wed, Apr 22, 2026 · Comerica Park

MIL @ DET
Game Center

Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers · 6:40 PM ET · Final 2–5 (7 runs)

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Final
Status
0.0
FQ Score
NRFI
Signal
8.0
O/U line
15.0
NRFI comb.
Milwaukee Brewers
36-19 · Away 16-10
0.0 R/G (L5)
Wed, Apr 22, 2026
2 5
Final · 7 runs
O/U 8.0 O -103 · U -109
Comerica Park
Detroit Tigers
22-35 · Home 14-14
0.0 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
15
NRFI Score
8.0
O/U Line
MIL Season Stats DET
5.2 Runs/Game 3.9
0% Over Rate 0%
4.6 Runs Away / Home 4.0
O2 O/U Streak
W3 Win Streak W3
Park avg: 8.36 R/G (28 games) ↑ Line below park avg
Milwaukee Brewers runs per game (last 5)
5
May 29
2
May 30
2
May 31
16
Jun 01
8
Jun 02
Detroit Tigers runs per game (last 5)
1
May 30
1
May 31
10
Jun 01
8
Jun 02
7
Jun 03
Starting Pitchers
MIL
DL Hall
Milwaukee Brewers · RHP
Avg
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
0
GS
0.0
IP
L3 ERA
L5 ERA
vs
DET
Casey Mize
Detroit Tigers · RHP
Elite
2.47
ERA
0.98
WHIP
8.9
K/9
BB/9
8
GS
43.7
IP
2.40
L3 ERA
1.63
L5 ERA
NRFI Score Breakdown
15
Combined NRFI Score
DET starter: Elite tier
Milwaukee Brewers · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 8-3 11 OVER W
Jun 1 16-2 18 OVER W
May 31 2-0 2 UNDER W
May 30 2-9 11 OVER L
May 29 5-4 9 OVER W
Detroit Tigers · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 3 7-2 9 NONE
Jun 2 8-0 8 PUSH W
Jun 1 10-9 19 OVER W
May 31 1-2 3 UNDER L
May 30 1-7 8 OVER L
Analysis · updated 6:28 AM ET

Both starters are locked in right now, but Chad Patrick's absurd 0.73 ERA is the headliner here. Casey Mize counters with solid 3.94 ERA form at home, and neither offense has scratched a run in their last five first innings. The pitching dominates early, the bats stay quiet, and the NRFI cashes before anyone settles into their seat.


NRFI Watch: Brewers @ Tigers

The no-run-first-inning angle looks compelling in Detroit on April 22nd. Chad Patrick takes the mound for Milwaukee carrying an impressive 0.73 ERA, making him one of the most difficult arms to score against early. Casey Mize counters for the Tigers with a solid 3.94 ERA, giving this matchup two starters capable of keeping lineups quiet through the opening frame.

The underlying trends support the lean. Milwaukee carries a seven-game scoreless first-inning streak on the away side, while Detroit has gone four straight without surrendering a first-inning run at home. Combined, both clubs have built a 15-game joint scoreless first-inning streak. Fade the early scoring here.

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