The site is in test mode — full access to all features is free.

Published picks are independently verified on Tipstrr. Tipstrr profile →

MLB · 2026 · Thu, Apr 23, 2026 · Comerica Park

MIL @ DET
Game Center

Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers · 1:10 PM ET · Final 4–5 (9 runs)

All tips verified
Final
Status
0.0
FQ Score
NRFI
Signal
7.0
O/U line
17.0
NRFI comb.
Milwaukee Brewers
36-19 · Away 16-10
0.0 R/G (L5)
Thu, Apr 23, 2026
4 5
Final · 9 runs
O/U 7.0 O -114 · U 101
Comerica Park
Detroit Tigers
22-35 · Home 14-14
0.0 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
17
NRFI Score
7.0
O/U Line
MIL Season Stats DET
5.2 Runs/Game 3.9
0% Over Rate 0%
4.6 Runs Away / Home 4.0
O2 O/U Streak
W3 Win Streak W3
Park avg: 8.36 R/G (28 games) ↑ Line below park avg
Milwaukee Brewers runs per game (last 5)
5
May 29
2
May 30
2
May 31
16
Jun 01
8
Jun 02
Detroit Tigers runs per game (last 5)
1
May 30
1
May 31
10
Jun 01
8
Jun 02
7
Jun 03
Starting Pitchers
MIL
Brandon Sproat
Milwaukee Brewers · RHP
Weak
5.84
ERA
1.54
WHIP
9.7
K/9
3.1
BB/9
8
GS
44.7
IP
5.79
L3 ERA
5.24
L5 ERA
vs
DET
Tarik Skubal
Detroit Tigers · RHP
Good
2.70
ERA
0.95
WHIP
9.4
K/9
1.5
BB/9
7
GS
43.3
IP
3.32
L3 ERA
3.56
L5 ERA
NRFI Score Breakdown
17
Combined NRFI Score
DET starter: Good tier
Milwaukee Brewers · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 8-3 11 OVER W
Jun 1 16-2 18 OVER W
May 31 2-0 2 UNDER W
May 30 2-9 11 OVER L
May 29 5-4 9 OVER W
Detroit Tigers · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 3 7-2 9 NONE
Jun 2 8-0 8 PUSH W
Jun 1 10-9 19 OVER W
May 31 1-2 3 UNDER L
May 30 1-7 8 OVER L
Analysis · updated 6:52 AM ET

Tarik Skubal's 2.22 ERA makes him one of the toughest arms to score against early, and both offenses have been ice cold to open games. With neither team averaging a single first-inning run over their last five outings, the bats showing up in the opener looks unlikely. Back the pitching and take no runs in the first.


NRFI Angle: Brewers @ Tigers (April 23, 2026)

The NRFI has genuine backing here despite the pitching mismatch on paper. Detroit's Tarik Skubal brings a sharp 2.22 ERA to the mound, giving the Tigers a legitimate shutdown arm capable of keeping Milwaukee off the board early. While Milwaukee's Brandon Sproat carries a concerning 10.45 ERA, the NRFI only requires surviving one inning — and first innings specifically tell a different story. The away Brewers carry an 8-game scoreless first-inning streak, while Detroit has gone 5 straight first innings without surrendering a run. Combined, these two clubs have built a 17-game joint scoreless first-inning streak. The trends strongly favor a quiet opening frame.

FastballHQ provides data-driven analysis for informational purposes only. This is not a betting recommendation. Please gamble responsibly — if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available at ncpgambling.org or call 1-800-522-4700.

More on this slate