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MLB · 2026 · Sat, Apr 25, 2026 · Truist Park

PHI @ ATL
Game Center

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves · 7:15 PM ET · Final 8–5 (13 runs)

All tips verified
Final
Status
0.0
FQ Score
NRFI
Signal
8.5
O/U line
20.0
NRFI comb.
Philadelphia Phillies
28-27 · Away 16-13
0.0 R/G (L5)
Sat, Apr 25, 2026
8 5
Final · 13 runs
O/U 8.5 O -113 · U 101
Truist Park
Atlanta Braves
35-18 · Home 18-10
0.0 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
20
NRFI Score
8.5
O/U Line
PHI Season Stats ATL
3.8 Runs/Game 5.1
0% Over Rate 0%
3.5 Runs Away / Home 4.0
U8 O/U Streak O1
W1 Win Streak W1
Park avg: 7.5 R/G (28 games) ↓ Line above park avg
Philadelphia Phillies runs per game (last 5)
3
May 25
4
May 26
2
May 29
4
May 30
3
Jun 02
Atlanta Braves runs per game (last 5)
0
May 27
10
May 28
8
May 29
5
May 30
4
May 31
Starting Pitchers
PHI
Zack Wheeler
Philadelphia Phillies · RHP
Elite
1.67
ERA
0.82
WHIP
8.6
K/9
BB/9
6
GS
37.7
IP
0.44
L3 ERA
1.38
L5 ERA
vs
ATL
Bryce Elder
Atlanta Braves · RHP
Elite
2.50
ERA
1.08
WHIP
7.6
K/9
2.9
BB/9
12
GS
72.0
IP
4.67
L3 ERA
3.41
L5 ERA
NRFI Score Breakdown
20
Combined NRFI Score
ATL starter: Elite tier
PHI starter: Elite tier
Philadelphia Phillies · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 3-2 5 UNDER W
May 30 4-3 7 UNDER W
May 29 2-4 6 UNDER L
May 26 4-3 7 UNDER W
May 25 3-0 3 UNDER W
Atlanta Braves · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
May 31 4-6 10 OVER L
May 30 5-2 7 UNDER W
May 29 8-3 11 OVER W
May 28 10-2 12 OVER W
May 27 0-8 8 PUSH L
Analysis · updated 6:21 AM ET

Bryce Elder has been virtually unhittable this season with a microscopic 0.77 ERA, and Zack Wheeler is no slouch on the mound either. Both offenses have combined for zero first-inning runs across their last five games each. The pitching dominates early here — fade the first inning scoring entirely.


NRFI Watch: Phillies @ Braves (April 25, 2026)

The first-inning trends align strongly for a scoreless opening frame in Atlanta. The Braves and Phillies carry a combined 20-game first-inning scoreless streak entering this matchup, signaling consistent early-inning shutdown performances from both sides.

Philadelphia brings a nine-game scoreless first-inning run on the away side, while Atlanta's home unit has posted seven straight first innings without surrendering a run. Those streaks frame a compelling NRFI setup on their own.

Add Braves starter Bryce Elder, who owns a remarkable 0.77 ERA, and the case strengthens considerably. With both offenses trending cold in the opening frame and Elder dealing at an elite level, lean heavily toward NRFI here.

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