Sat, Apr 4, 2026
3
–
2
Final · 5 runs
O/U 7.5
O -101 · U -111
Fenway Park
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
8
NRFI Score
7.5
O/U Line
SD
Season Stats
BOS
4.0
Runs/Game
4.0
0%
Over Rate
0%
4.4
Runs Away / Home
3.2
U2
O/U Streak
U1
L3
Win Streak
L1
Park avg: 7.24 R/G (29 games)
↓ Line above park avg
San Diego Padres
runs per game (last 5)
Boston Red Sox
runs per game (last 5)
Starting Pitchers
SD
Randy Vásquez
San Diego Padres · RHP
Good
3.28
ERA
1.23
WHIP
7.0
K/9
3.5
BB/9
vs
BOS
Connelly Early
Boston Red Sox · RHP
Good
2.95
ERA
1.16
WHIP
8.4
K/9
1.9
BB/9
NRFI Score Breakdown
8
Combined NRFI Score
BOS: scoreless F1 streak ×1
BOS starter: Good tier
SD starter: Good tier
San Diego Padres · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2 | 2-3 | 5 | UNDER | L |
| May 31 | 2-4 | 6 | UNDER | L |
| May 29 | 7-5 | 12 | OVER | W |
| May 26 | 3-4 | 7 | UNDER | L |
| May 25 | 0-3 | 3 | UNDER | L |
Boston Red Sox · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2 | 2-4 | 6 | UNDER | L |
| May 31 | 9-4 | 13 | OVER | W |
| May 30 | 9-1 | 10 | OVER | W |
| May 29 | 3-4 | 7 | UNDER | L |
| May 28 | 2-10 | 12 | OVER | L |
Analysis · updated 11:28 AM ET
Boston's offense has sputtered to just 2.8 runs per game over its last five contests, while San Diego managed only 3.4. Red Sox starter Tanner Connelly brings elite stuff with a 1.69 ERA, and Padres pitcher Randy Vásquez enters with a pristine 0.00 mark. Both lineups face formidable pitching in a low-scoring environment ripe for no runs first inning.
FastballHQ provides data-driven analysis for informational purposes only. This is not a betting recommendation. Please gamble responsibly — if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available at ncpgambling.org or call 1-800-522-4700.
