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MLB · 2026 · Mon, May 4, 2026 · Oracle Park

SD @ SF
Game Center

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants · 9:45 PM ET · Final 2–3 (5 runs)

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Final
Status
0.0
FQ Score
NRFI
Signal
8.0
O/U line
12.0
NRFI comb.
San Diego Padres
32-25 · Away 16-11
0.0 R/G (L5)
Mon, May 4, 2026
2 3
Final · 5 runs
O/U 8.0 O -110 · U -102
Oracle Park
San Francisco Giants
23-36 · Home 12-16
0.0 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
12
NRFI Score
8.0
O/U Line
SD Season Stats SF
4.0 Runs/Game 3.9
0% Over Rate 1%
4.4 Runs Away / Home 3.8
U2 O/U Streak O4
L3 Win Streak L2
Park avg: 8.54 R/G (28 games) ↑ Line below park avg
San Diego Padres runs per game (last 5)
0
May 25
3
May 26
7
May 29
2
May 31
2
Jun 02
San Francisco Giants runs per game (last 5)
2
May 27
6
May 29
19
May 31
2
Jun 01
3
Jun 02
Starting Pitchers
SD
Randy Vásquez
San Diego Padres · RHP
Good
3.28
ERA
1.23
WHIP
7.0
K/9
3.5
BB/9
11
GS
60.3
IP
3.94
L3 ERA
3.71
L5 ERA
vs
SF
Trevor McDonald
San Francisco Giants · RHP
Avg
4.34
ERA
1.07
WHIP
8.4
K/9
BB/9
5
GS
29.0
IP
5.40
L3 ERA
4.34
L5 ERA
NRFI Score Breakdown
12
Combined NRFI Score
SD starter: Good tier
San Diego Padres · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 2-3 5 UNDER L
May 31 2-4 6 UNDER L
May 29 7-5 12 OVER W
May 26 3-4 7 UNDER L
May 25 0-3 3 UNDER L
San Francisco Giants · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 3-8 11 OVER L
Jun 1 2-16 18 OVER L
May 31 19-6 25 OVER W
May 29 6-8 14 OVER L
May 27 2-3 5 UNDER L
Analysis · updated 3:29 AM ET

Both starters bring serious run-suppression credentials into this one. Randy Vásquez carries a sparkling 1.88 ERA, while Trevor McDonald has kept opposing offenses equally quiet. The numbers back it up — both teams have averaged zero first-inning runs over their last five games each. With two pitchers dealing and cold first-inning bats on both sides, fading early scoring is the play.


NRFI Angle: Padres @ Giants (May 4, 2026)

The numbers strongly favor a quiet first inning in San Francisco. Randy Vásquez takes the mound for San Diego carrying an impressive 1.88 ERA, giving the Padres a legitimate shutdown arm to open the game. On the Giants' side, Trevor McDonald has shown early-inning stability, backed by San Francisco's five-game scoreless-side streak in the first inning. The Padres add further confidence with their own three-game scoreless first-inning run. Combine those individual trends with a combined 12-game first-inning scoreless streak shared between these two clubs, and the foundation for an NRFI play is clearly established. Both pitching staffs and early-inning trends point toward keeping the scoreboard clean through one.

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