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MLB · 2026 · Fri, Apr 3, 2026 · Rate Field

TOR @ CWS
Game Center

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox · 2:10 PM ET · Final 4–5 (9 runs)

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Final
Status
-6.1
FQ Score
UNDER
Signal
7.5
O/U line
7.0
NRFI comb.
Toronto Blue Jays
24-29 · Away 12-19
4.0 R/G (L5)
Fri, Apr 3, 2026
4 5
Final · 9 runs
O/U 7.5 O 109 · U -123
Rate Field
Chicago White Sox
31-27 · Home 20-11
4.6 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
Under 7.5
Strong signal across match total and F5 markets.
-6.1
FQ Score
7.5
O/U Line
TOR Season Stats CWS
4.1 Runs/Game 4.7
1% Over Rate 1%
3.9 Runs Away / Home 4.9
O3 O/U Streak O1
L3 Win Streak W1
Park avg: 8.9 R/G (31 games) ↑ Line below park avg
Toronto Blue Jays runs per game (last 5)
2
May 25
2
May 28
6
May 29
5
May 30
5
May 31
Chicago White Sox runs per game (last 5)
6
May 28
7
May 30
2
May 31
6
Jun 01
8
Jun 03
Starting Pitchers
TOR
Dylan Cease
Toronto Blue Jays · RHP
Good
2.98
ERA
1.22
WHIP
13.2
K/9
3.8
BB/9
10
GS
57.3
IP
2.84
L3 ERA
3.69
L5 ERA
vs
CWS
Grant Taylor
Chicago White Sox · RHP
Elite
1.42
ERA
1.26
WHIP
11.4
K/9
3.7
BB/9
3
GS
6.3
IP
0.00
L3 ERA
0.00
L5 ERA
FQ Score Breakdown Strong Under Signal
Chicago White Sox trend
0.0
Toronto Blue Jays trend
-0.9
Pitching factor
-1.5
F5 pattern
-0.9
Market context
0.3
Total -6.1
Toronto Blue Jays · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
May 31 5-9 14 OVER L
May 30 5-6 11 OVER L
May 29 6-5 11 OVER W
May 28 2-1 3 UNDER W
May 25 2-8 10 OVER L
Chicago White Sox · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 3 8-0 8 NONE
Jun 1 6-9 15 OVER L
May 31 2-1 3 UNDER W
May 30 7-1 8 OVER W
May 28 6-2 8 PUSH W
Analysis · updated 2:59 AM ET

No Run First Inning

Dylan Cease carries a 4.55 ERA into this one, but it's Grant Taylor's 4.91 ERA that anchors this play. Despite both teams showing offensive life recently — Toronto averaging 4.8 runs over their last five — first-inning run production remains a different beast. Neither starter projects as a first-inning liability severe enough to overcome the historical NRFI lean. Take the quiet opening frame.


NRFI Angle: Blue Jays @ White Sox (April 3, 2026)

The numbers quietly point toward a clean first inning in Chicago on Friday. Both the White Sox and Blue Jays have each posted three consecutive scoreless first innings in their recent outings, and the combined first-inning scoreless streak across this matchup sits at 10. That kind of sustained early-inning quiet from both sides is exactly what NRFI backers want to see. Dylan Cease takes the mound for Toronto carrying a 4.55 ERA, while Chicago counters with Grant Taylor at 4.91. Neither number is elite, but opening frames often tell a different story than full-game lines. With both offenses recently dormant in the first, the lean here is clear: NRFI.

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