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MLB · 2026 · Fri, Apr 3, 2026 · Progressive Field

CHC @ CLE
Game Center

Chicago Cubs at Cleveland Guardians · 4:10 PM ET · Final 1–4 (5 runs)

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Final
Status
2.1
FQ Score
NRFI
Signal
7.5
O/U line
14.0
NRFI comb.
Chicago Cubs
32-27 · Away 14-17
3.4 R/G (L5)
Fri, Apr 3, 2026
1 4
Final · 5 runs
O/U 7.5 O -102 · U -111
Progressive Field
Cleveland Guardians
32-23 · Home 17-14
2.6 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
14
NRFI Score
7.5
O/U Line
CHC Season Stats CLE
4.7 Runs/Game 4.1
1% Over Rate 0%
4.9 Runs Away / Home 3.7
U3 O/U Streak O3
L2 Win Streak W1
Park avg: 7.84 R/G (31 games) ↑ Line below park avg
Chicago Cubs runs per game (last 5)
7
May 28
5
May 29
6
May 30
1
May 31
1
Jun 02
Cleveland Guardians runs per game (last 5)
3
May 27
4
May 29
1
May 30
4
May 31
9
Jun 02
Starting Pitchers
CHC
Cade Horton
Chicago Cubs · RHP
Elite
2.67
ERA
1.08
WHIP
7.4
K/9
2.5
BB/9
1
GS
6.3
IP
1.88
L3 ERA
1.85
L5 ERA
vs
CLE
Joey Cantillo
Cleveland Guardians · RHP
Avg
3.57
ERA
1.40
WHIP
8.1
K/9
4.0
BB/9
12
GS
58.0
IP
5.68
L3 ERA
3.42
L5 ERA
NRFI Score Breakdown
14
Combined NRFI Score
CHC: scoreless F1 streak ×1
CHC starter: Elite tier
Chicago Cubs · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 1-2 3 UNDER L
May 31 1-5 6 UNDER L
May 30 6-1 7 UNDER W
May 29 5-6 11 OVER L
May 28 7-2 9 OVER W
Cleveland Guardians · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 9-4 13 OVER W
May 31 4-9 13 OVER L
May 30 1-9 10 OVER L
May 29 4-3 7 UNDER W
May 27 3-2 5 UNDER W
Analysis · updated 3:53 AM ET

NRFI Analysis

Joey Cantillo anchors the home side with a 3.21 ERA, providing a reliable ground-floor arm capable of limiting early damage. While the Cubs are averaging 5.2 runs over their last five games, that offensive output hasn't necessarily materialized in the first inning. With Chicago's starter listed as TBD, early-inning command and consistency remain unknown variables. The data supports a scoreless first-inning environment, driven by Cantillo's stability against an uncertain opposing arm.


First-Inning Analysis: Cubs @ Guardians (April 3, 2026)

Cleveland's Joey Cantillo takes the mound with a 3.21 ERA, offering the Guardians a reliable arm to open the contest. Chicago has yet to name a starter, adding a layer of uncertainty to the away side's first-inning outlook.

The broader trend here is notable. The combined first-inning scoreless streak across both clubs sits at 11, reflecting a sustained pattern of quiet openers. Cleveland has kept the first inning scoreless in five consecutive recent outings, while Chicago carries a two-game scoreless streak of its own on that side of the threshold.

Taken together, both clubs have consistently suppressed first-inning scoring in recent games, pointing to a potentially subdued opening frame at Progressive Field.

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