Mon, Apr 6, 2026
3
–
7
Final · 10 runs
O/U 7.0
O -103 · U -109
Target Field
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
10
NRFI Score
7.0
O/U Line
DET
Season Stats
MIN
3.9
Runs/Game
4.8
0%
Over Rate
1%
3.9
Runs Away / Home
5.0
—
O/U Streak
O4
W3
Win Streak
L1
Park avg: 8.84 R/G (31 games)
↑ Line below park avg
Detroit Tigers
runs per game (last 5)
Minnesota Twins
runs per game (last 5)
Starting Pitchers
DET
Casey Mize
Detroit Tigers · RHP
Elite
2.47
ERA
0.98
WHIP
8.9
K/9
—
BB/9
vs
MIN
Joe Ryan
Minnesota Twins · RHP
Good
2.94
ERA
0.93
WHIP
9.8
K/9
2.1
BB/9
NRFI Score Breakdown
10
Combined NRFI Score
MIN: scoreless F1 streak ×2
DET: scoreless F1 streak ×1
MIN starter: Good tier
DET starter: Elite tier
Detroit Tigers · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3 | 7-2 | 9 | NONE | — |
| Jun 2 | 8-0 | 8 | PUSH | W |
| Jun 1 | 10-9 | 19 | OVER | W |
| May 31 | 1-2 | 3 | UNDER | L |
| May 30 | 1-7 | 8 | OVER | L |
Minnesota Twins · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3 | 0-8 | 8 | NONE | — |
| Jun 1 | 9-6 | 15 | OVER | W |
| May 31 | 3-9 | 12 | OVER | L |
| May 30 | 9-10 | 19 | OVER | L |
| May 29 | 5-6 | 11 | OVER | L |
Analysis · updated 10:19 AM ET
Casey Mize's elite 1.50 ERA gives Detroit's offense minimal scoring opportunities early. Minnesota's Joe Ryan carries a bloated 4.82 ERA into this matchup, but the Twins have managed just 4.0 runs over their last five games. With both offenses struggling recently and Mize operating at ace-level efficiency, runs should be hard to come by in the first inning.
FastballHQ provides data-driven analysis for informational purposes only. This is not a betting recommendation. Please gamble responsibly — if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available at ncpgambling.org or call 1-800-522-4700.
