Wed, Apr 8, 2026
6
–
8
Final · 14 runs
O/U 8.0
O -106 · U -106
Target Field
FastballHQ Signal
Over 8
Strong signal across match total and F5 markets.
7.2
FQ Score
8.0
O/U Line
DET
Season Stats
MIN
3.9
Runs/Game
4.8
0%
Over Rate
1%
3.9
Runs Away / Home
5.0
—
O/U Streak
O4
W3
Win Streak
L1
Park avg: 8.84 R/G (31 games)
↑ Line below park avg
Detroit Tigers
runs per game (last 5)
Minnesota Twins
runs per game (last 5)
Starting Pitchers
DET
Framber Valdez
Detroit Tigers · RHP
Avg
4.28
ERA
1.33
WHIP
7.4
K/9
3.2
BB/9
vs
MIN
Bailey Ober
Minnesota Twins · RHP
Avg
3.92
ERA
1.10
WHIP
6.2
K/9
1.9
BB/9
FQ Score Breakdown
Strong Over Signal
Minnesota Twins trend
2.9
Detroit Tigers trend
4.0
Pitching factor
+0.0
F5 pattern
+1.0
Market context
0.0
Total
7.2
Detroit Tigers · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3 | 7-2 | 9 | NONE | — |
| Jun 2 | 8-0 | 8 | PUSH | W |
| Jun 1 | 10-9 | 19 | OVER | W |
| May 31 | 1-2 | 3 | UNDER | L |
| May 30 | 1-7 | 8 | OVER | L |
Minnesota Twins · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3 | 0-8 | 8 | NONE | — |
| Jun 1 | 9-6 | 15 | OVER | W |
| May 31 | 3-9 | 12 | OVER | L |
| May 30 | 9-10 | 19 | OVER | L |
| May 29 | 5-6 | 11 | OVER | L |
Analysis · updated 12:05 PM ET
Detroit's struggling offense (3.2 runs/5 games) faces Minnesota's elite starter Bailey Ober, while the Twins counter with Framber Valdez—one of baseball's most dominant pitchers at 0.75 ERA. Even with Minnesota averaging 4.6 runs recently, Valdez's dominance should suppress run production on both sides. The under cashes in a low-scoring pitching duel.
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