Wed, Apr 8, 2026
7
–
2
Final · 9 runs
O/U 7.5
O -102 · U -110
Citi Field
FastballHQ Signal
Over 7.5
Strong signal across match total and F5 markets.
11.6
FQ Score
7.5
O/U Line
#1
Pick of Day
AZ
Season Stats
NYM
4.4
Runs/Game
3.9
0%
Over Rate
0%
4.0
Runs Away / Home
4.7
O1
O/U Streak
O1
L1
Win Streak
W1
Park avg: 9.07 R/G (30 games)
↑ Line below park avg
Arizona Diamondbacks
runs per game (last 5)
New York Mets
runs per game (last 5)
Starting Pitchers
AZ
Ryne Nelson
Arizona Diamondbacks · RHP
Weak
4.65
ERA
1.18
WHIP
7.4
K/9
2.4
BB/9
vs
NYM
David Peterson
New York Mets · RHP
Weak
5.40
ERA
1.57
WHIP
9.6
K/9
3.5
BB/9
FQ Score Breakdown
Strong Over Signal
New York Mets trend
4.1
Arizona Diamondbacks trend
4.5
Pitching factor
+2.2
F5 pattern
+0.6
Market context
0.5
Total
11.6
Arizona Diamondbacks · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2 | 5-6 | 11 | OVER | L |
| Jun 1 | 4-1 | 5 | UNDER | W |
| May 31 | 2-3 | 5 | UNDER | L |
| May 30 | 1-5 | 6 | UNDER | L |
| May 29 | 6-7 | 13 | OVER | L |
New York Mets · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3 | 7-1 | 8 | NONE | — |
| Jun 2 | 3-8 | 11 | OVER | L |
| Jun 1 | 2-3 | 5 | UNDER | L |
| May 31 | 10-1 | 11 | OVER | W |
| May 30 | 6-1 | 7 | UNDER | W |
Analysis · updated 12:05 PM ET
The Mets have averaged 5.5 runs over their last five games, while Arizona's offense has sputtered at just 2.75 runs per contest. Ryne Nelson takes the mound for the Diamondbacks with a concerning 5.79 ERA, facing a Mets lineup primed to capitalize. With New York's offensive surge and Arizona's shaky pitching, expect a high-scoring affair.
FastballHQ provides data-driven analysis for informational purposes only. This is not a betting recommendation. Please gamble responsibly — if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available at ncpgambling.org or call 1-800-522-4700.
