The site is in test mode — full access to all features is free.

Published picks are independently verified on Tipstrr. Tipstrr profile →

MLB · 2026 · Thu, Apr 16, 2026 · Comerica Park

KC @ DET
Game Center

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers · 1:10 PM ET · Final 9–10 (19 runs)

All tips verified
Final
Status
0.0
FQ Score
NRFI
Signal
8.5
O/U line
14.0
NRFI comb.
Kansas City Royals
22-33 · Away 8-21
0.0 R/G (L5)
Thu, Apr 16, 2026
9 10
Final · 19 runs
O/U 8.5 O -109 · U -103
Comerica Park
Detroit Tigers
22-35 · Home 14-14
0.0 R/G (L5)
FastballHQ Signal
NRFI
First-inning scoreless read from both sides.
14
NRFI Score
8.5
O/U Line
KC Season Stats DET
3.8 Runs/Game 3.9
0% Over Rate 0%
3.2 Runs Away / Home 4.0
U1 O/U Streak
L1 Win Streak W3
Park avg: 8.36 R/G (28 games) ↓ Line above park avg
Kansas City Royals runs per game (last 5)
1
May 26
0
May 27
1
May 29
9
Jun 01
3
Jun 02
Detroit Tigers runs per game (last 5)
1
May 30
1
May 31
10
Jun 01
8
Jun 02
7
Jun 03
Starting Pitchers
KC
Kris Bubic
Kansas City Royals · RHP
Good
3.50
ERA
1.17
WHIP
9.1
K/9
BB/9
8
GS
46.3
IP
2.55
L3 ERA
4.13
L5 ERA
vs
DET
Keider Montero
Detroit Tigers · RHP
Avg
4.09
ERA
1.07
WHIP
6.4
K/9
BB/9
10
GS
55.0
IP
6.46
L3 ERA
4.18
L5 ERA
NRFI Score Breakdown
14
Combined NRFI Score
KC starter: Good tier
Kansas City Royals · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 2 3-4 7 UNDER L
Jun 1 9-2 11 OVER W
May 29 1-9 10 OVER L
May 27 0-7 7 UNDER L
May 26 1-15 16 OVER L
Detroit Tigers · Last 5 Games
DateScoreRunsO/UW/L
Jun 3 7-2 9 NONE
Jun 2 8-0 8 PUSH W
Jun 1 10-9 19 OVER W
May 31 1-2 3 UNDER L
May 30 1-7 8 OVER L
Analysis · updated 7:55 AM ET

Pitching dominates this one early. Keider Montero has been nearly untouchable with a 1.74 ERA, while Kris Bubic isn't far behind at 2.50 — both arms built to shut down first innings. Back that up with both offenses averaging 0.0 first-inning runs over their last five games, and the case for no runs crossing in the opening frame is about as clean as it gets.


NRFI Watch: Royals @ Tigers – April 16

The pitching setup for Wednesday's opener in Detroit screams no run in the first inning. Tigers starter Keider Montero has been outstanding this season, carrying an impressive 1.74 ERA, while Kansas City counters with Kris Bubic at a solid 2.50 ERA. Both arms look capable of navigating a clean first frame.

The data backs the lean heavily. Kansas City carries a seven-game scoreless first-inning streak on the away side, while Detroit has posted consecutive scoreless first innings of their own. Combine those trends with the matchup's 14-game combined first-inning scoreless streak, and NRFI looks like the clear play here. Ride the zeros early.

FastballHQ provides data-driven analysis for informational purposes only. This is not a betting recommendation. Please gamble responsibly — if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available at ncpgambling.org or call 1-800-522-4700.

More on this slate