Sun, Apr 5, 2026
2
–
8
Final · 10 runs
O/U 8.0
O -115 · U 103
PNC Park
FastballHQ Signal
NONE
Momentum-based read for this matchup.
8.0
O/U Line
BAL
Season Stats
PIT
4.6
Runs/Game
5.0
1%
Over Rate
1%
4.0
Runs Away / Home
5.5
U1
O/U Streak
O7
W3
Win Streak
W4
Park avg: 10.52 R/G (33 games)
↑ Line below park avg
Baltimore Orioles
runs per game (last 5)
Pittsburgh Pirates
runs per game (last 5)
Starting Pitchers
BAL
Chris Bassitt
Baltimore Orioles · RHP
Weak
5.06
ERA
1.58
WHIP
6.1
K/9
—
BB/9
vs
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
Pittsburgh Pirates · RHP
Good
2.75
ERA
1.05
WHIP
9.2
K/9
—
BB/9
FQ Score Breakdown
Watch
Pittsburgh Pirates trend
0.0
Baltimore Orioles trend
3.0
Pitching factor
+0.0
F5 pattern
+0.0
Market context
0.0
Total
2.3
Baltimore Orioles · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2 | 4-2 | 6 | UNDER | W |
| May 31 | 9-5 | 14 | OVER | W |
| May 30 | 6-5 | 11 | OVER | W |
| May 29 | 5-6 | 11 | OVER | L |
| May 28 | 1-2 | 3 | UNDER | L |
Pittsburgh Pirates · Last 5 Games
| Date | Score | Runs | O/U | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2 | 10-6 | 16 | OVER | W |
| May 31 | 9-3 | 12 | OVER | W |
| May 30 | 10-9 | 19 | OVER | W |
| May 29 | 6-5 | 11 | OVER | W |
| May 28 | 2-7 | 9 | OVER | L |
Analysis · updated 10:12 AM ET
NRFI Pick: Orioles @ Pirates
Chris Bassitt's inflated 8.31 ERA gives Pittsburgh's struggling offense a genuine chance to stay off the board. The Pirates average just 4.8 runs over their last five games, while Baltimore's anemic 4.2-run average suggests a low-scoring affair. Two offenses trending toward silence makes this a prime no-runs-first opportunity.
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